Tuesday, April 15, 2014

Luxembourg's Juncker in a New York Times Feature Story


















My Orchids. Phalaneopsis "Virtual Candidate". Photo ET Avatars


It is story about a Wannabe President of something in Europe, campaigning on a US style campaign bus. As a feature story, of course the author doesn't allow himself to further analyze the political message. This would be more the realm of NYT's investigative journalists, who traditionally vouch for the high editorial reputation of the New York Times. But what is striking, if you dare to go into analyzing, is the conclusion that candidates for political office are the same everywhere, and tactics are basically interchangeable from culture to culture. It doesn't stop at the bus.

Without going into the detail of the many strategic missteps in building an ever closer European Union, let me list some, most of which  carry also Mr. Juncker's finger prints: It has been a long and tentative wandering from the Treaty of Rome, starting in 1958 with a core Union of six countries, to today's 28 nations Union.

The ultimate goal of the Union has never been defined.  Tall and small chiefs around the Union see, and act, and talk of the Union as of a work in progress and mold it into visions of either a Common Market, a United States of Europe, a Confederation, a Pick and Chose Menu Club, a Federal Union, etc. After more than 50 years of erring around, the "European Union" has become an undemocratic bureaucracy, where defeated national political greats and other non-elected officials find (well compensated) refuge, and hold sway over euro-cronyism.

Looking at Mr. Juncker in this particular exercise and indeed the NYT feature story, this is what defines him:

He is candidate for President of the European Commission. He is quoted as saying that either he or Mr Schulz (candidate of the left) has to be "chosen" for President. And talks at the same time about "democratic legitimacy". Fact is, that there seems to be a rule that the elections for the European Parliament in May should produce a winner. Mr. Juncker, as the top contender of the European conservatives (a disparate collection of European conservative parties, as most European parties are), is not even a candidate for his party that however somehow he leads into the elections! So he might win the elections with zero votes, which would allow a couple of hundred elected representatives to speak on behalf of 550 million European citizens, who will probably even not bother to go to vote.

For the rest it is business as usual, as in any election: promises and flip flops. Mr. Juncker is going to be the champion of a more social Europe, after having championed big business, the Euro , saving the Euro, saving Banks by confiscating deposits as in Cyprus, and pushing austerity. He is against a United States of Europe (despite the bus) , but he  wants to preside its government.  He promoted Euro-bonds before being against those. And he supported Turkey's admission into the European Union, before opposing it. And, oh yes, he wants Britain to stay in the Union.

So Mr. Juncker or Mr. Schulz will preside the European Commission. Some say that Mr. Juncker actually, if "chosen" wants to skip that position and in a bait and switch operation really wants to become President of the European Council, another unelected position that can be negotiated. In that case, as he is not a candidate in these Parliamentary elections, but top candidate and campaigning as such, he will not be elected, but therefore "chosen" to be President of the European Commission as the un-elected top candidate of the European Parliamentary elections. Once "chosen" as President of the European Commission, he will probably resign immediately so to be "chosen" as President of the European Council. Get it?


Maybe his designated replacement as President of the European Commission is already Mr. Schulz? A sort of Putin - Medvedev, Medvedev - Putin thing.



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