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| Phalaneopsis Bernie Trump |
A
US presidential election unlike any other
Born in Luxembourg, living in the US
for 27 years, after 6 Presidential elections, familiar with Power on both sides
of the Atlantic, following US and international news daily, this is my attempt
to explain why the US elections took Europeans (and Americans) off-guard. It is
their own fault, to just allow establishment and Press to stuff them with
industrialized comments disguised as “news”and propaganda, and explain away the
obvious.
I am at a conference in
Curaçao, where people have not yet recovered from Donald Trump’s election as
President of the United States. "Yet," says Miguel from a large local
bank, "we are generally well informed by CNN about what is happening on
the continent. Nobody expected that to happen."
In Luxembourg reactions
are similar. Surveys had given a 3% support to Donald Trump, 71% to Hillary
Clinton. This is also the indirect result of the information, rigged as we will
see, by the same CNN. Yet by coolly analyzing the movements of the last ten
days of the election campaign, I came to the conclusion that Trump could win up
to 40 states, and with that the Presidency! But to arrive at this conclusion,
it was necessary to include statistically some emotional but quantifiable
imponderables that exist in the opinion movements of large crowds.
What has really happened
is an incredible mystification of the public by a series of strategic mistakes
made by both parties, a deception by the media that no longer hide their
preferences and interfere in the debate to favor their candidate, the failure
to recognize the phenomenon of the universal rejection of the political
correctness (1) in the United States as well as in Europe, and the failure to
master, or even the rigging of the statistical tool by the opinion pollsters,
who end up promoting their own preferred predictions. The public went into a
rebellion. Rare are still those today who perceive and measure the great fundamental
upheaval in the political life of the United States. It happens before our
eyes.
Elections
are no longer coronations
American democracy is no
longer what it used to be, at least not as it was conceived over 240 years ago.
American politics has become a cynical science in which the best strategists
and tacticians take pleasure in circumventing the precepts of the constitution,
of customs, and are often simply ignoring the law. A polarized electorate is ready
to either condemn or justify transgressions, even crimes. The result is an
arrogant political class that is above the law, and generates an occult power
by particular interests and dominant lobbies. And personal ambitions take political
parties hostage in a mafia atmosphere. No, this is not a place for choirboys.
So, just over a year ago,
even if you only followed the news by chance, you will surely have learnt that
the 2016 elections were going to be a duel between Hillary Clinton and Jeb
Bush. One being the wife of a former President, the other the son and brother
of two former Presidents. Hillary against Jeb, as if the Republic were destined
to be governed by alternating dynasties, either Bush or Clinton. Such was the
will of the occult forces which ruled the parties.
One
person, one vote, one candidate!
Was this the new American
democracy in the image of North Korea? The Democratic and Republican parties
had indeed chosen a strategy of the inevitable result. For Democrats, Hillary
Clinton should not have a viable counter-candidate in the primaries at all, so to
quickly get to the scenario of one person, one vote, one candidate. For
Republicans, Jeb Bush would have competitors, but they would be crushed with
millions of dollars in marketing and advertising attacks. The Presidential election
would then be a duel Hillary-Jeb, each spending at least a billion dollars to
choke-off the other. But one of them would be President.
After Jeb's elimination
early in the selection of the primaries, we were already headed for the
crowning of "Hillary", a princess heiress in her own right, who as
the first woman would inherit the White House by the grace of feminism. It is
curious that the America of the "We the People" has become
undemocratic to the point that only two dynasties should present Presidential
candidates.
When
"We the People" revolt
The beautiful strategies
concocted by the Electoral Princes of both parties had a catch, in both cases:
Bernie Sanders for the Democrats and Donald Trump for the Republicans. The two
were not supposed to last long in the primaries, as political correctness would
have dictated. To the contrary, we were witnessing an orgy of political
incorrectness. The voter, extenuated to be restricted to a handkerchief of
liberties, has given free rein to his rancor accumulated for years. And the
voter punished the enforcers of the single uniform way of thought of political
correctness.
To find some explanations,
let’s return to the Primary process. It is the democratic process to select a
Presidential candidate from a pool of applicants in the two main parties, the
Democrats and the Republicans. The primary elections began in Iowa on February
1, 2016 with a "caucus", a kind of direct democracy, followed by
elections in New Hampshire, Nevada, South Carolina, and finally in July, State
by State. It is complicated.
We must first of all know
that these primary elections are not organized by the government but by the
parties, which are in fact private associations that borrow the state's
infrastructure for these elections. These primary elections are either reserved
for registered members of the party, or open to everyone depending on the
state. The local party sets the rules. The consultation is either in the form
of secret ballots or a caucus, a kind of gathering during which a winner is
distilled by joining the faction of one or the other candidate, a public vote
by show of hands.
This process of primaries
is a first element of divergence with European practices. It is the voter who
selects candidates for the Presidency, and in principle not the nomenclature of
the party as in Europe, where those impose their candidates. In the trajectory
toward the nomination, a candidate must skillfully navigate political
sensitivities, and sometimes with agility lean more to the right or to the left.
This is because both parties each cover a broad ideological spectrum, and the
left wing of the Republican Party may have representatives farther left than
the right-wing members of the Democratic Party. The history of the parties is
astonishing also for their contradictory destinies. Thus the Republican Party
of Lincoln, the anti-slavery party, usually does not have a big percentage of
the vote of the black electorate. This is the area reserved for the Democrats,
although historically linked to the Ku Klux Klan with the last prominent former
member being Senator Robert Byrd of West Virginia until 2010. So left and right
are really recognizable only in their extreme wings. The rest is a pragmatic
"mainstream", often "Independent," where it is not unusual
to see characters change from one party to another. Some examples are Ronald
Reagan, Michael Bloomberg and yes, Donald Trump. But these election campaigns
were brutal in their form, and superficial in their programs.
Dal Bo den Bo boka
Americans would say: “Excuse
my French.” Though this is really Papiamento from Curaçao and means: “I’ll
punch your mouth.” At recess of course, to stay at elementary school level. By
hearing the diatribes of Donald Trump, Lying Ted, Little Marco and Crooked
Hillary, one borrows easily their language of the past 16 months! Uncle Joe
(Vice President Biden) even challenged Donald: he would wait for the Donald behind
the gym. And the Donald said, "I just blow, and Joe bites the dust."
After these
clarifications on the major strategies of the future, Trump played “little
doctor”, where an open mic met national prudery. It became a schoolyard affair
fitting 3rd grade elementary. And Hillary got angry too. She treated the obtuse
who wouldn’t vote for her as "deplorable", all the way shouting like
a concierge in the staircase. That was expensive: you do not insult voters,
only competitors. Donald said she was an inveterate liar. She said that he did
not respect women. He said no, that that was her husband Bill. It was a bit
tiring, and the voter did not really like either, with an unpopularity rating up
to about 75% each.
150%
of Americans did not like their candidates
I’m joking of course, in
the face of the pollsters who miserably failed their little calculations and predictions.
I just added the two unpopularity ratings, 75% + 75% equals 150%. This is
obviously an intentionally false and impossible figure, a derisive
demonstration of how polls lacked scientific rigor. Mathematically, however,
one can conclude that 50% to 75% of Americans did not like either of the two
candidates. This means that the voter didn’t decide on which of the two
candidates was the best, but which of the two was the least bad. The public
decided that it preferred the Donald's volcanic temperament and the political
movement he created to the Clinton shenanigans, under constant “investigation”
of a now politicized FBI.
CNN,
Clinton News Network?
CNN is the epitome of the
bad news for the Press which in fact loses its status of fourth power since
these elections. The Press was of course not neutral in these elections. On
many occasions, it has abandoned its duty of neutrality through selective
reporting and intentionally biased stories about both candidates. We know the
leanings to the left of the big TV channels, to the right of Fox News and the
many radios with their syndicated programs across the country. This really
violates the public’s right to know, to know the Truth that is.
CNN stood out being
caught with the hand in the cookie jar. CNN was providing Hillary Clinton with advance
questions for interviews and debates, according to WikiLeaks, deserving since
the nickname of Clinton News Network. As consumers of news, have we become what
we consume? Miguel from Curaçao has only CNN as main source of information.
European journalists are also watching CNN to concoct their message. No wonder
that for lack of choice and personal investigation and analysis, they espouse
the bias of those they listen to, including errors and omissions. In these
circumstances, the risk of making mistakes is not controllable. It is at low
tide that you see who doesn’t wear a bathing suit.
As WikiLeaks brought to
light the proximity of certain Press organizations and the political caste, the
agitation of his own party against Sanders, the disavowal of Trump by the
tenors of his party, it is clear that the heads of both parties have been cut
off their bodies.
Wall
Street is now Democrat, Main Street and Elm Street are Republican
This is the great
upheaval that I mentioned above. It's the world upside down. In the past, electoral
clienteles wanted what the leaders of both parties wanted: Hillary or Jeb. It
is neither the one nor the other anymore. Bernie Sanders, as one of the two
insurgents alongside Trump, would have been more likely to succeed than
Hillary, who in fact was not an ideal candidate, with too many attacking angles
and weak flanks.
The result of this
politico-societal imbroglio is that the middle class is no longer aligned with
the interests and aspirations of the elites of the Democratic Party. These
elites have lost their party. The Republican elites do not find themselves in
the aspirations of the new supporters of the party, including unions! This
party lost its elites. The Press has lost public confidence, and public opinion
magicians have lost their credibility. Where is America going? It goes in the
direction of the fourth power, but that no longer is the Press. The fourth
power is now the Bureaucracy, the Great Servants of the State in the Agencies.
In the meantime there
will be bad losers who will break their neighborhood for a few more days, CNN
will show the protests 24/7, President Hollande will swallow his heartburns,
the European Union will seek its compass, and some will finally read the
American Constitution
.
(1) The perverse effects
of politically correct. (French).15 January 2016. http://tinyurl.com/hp59d5h
